New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-02-24 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 3 New York Islanders (SO)

Win Probability

SJS: 51.4%

NYI: 48.6%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.07

NYI: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 49%

SJS

J. Reimer

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	49	46	3	93.9%	2.97	0	-0.03
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	30	26	4	86.7%	2.99	1	-1.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • SJS at home vs NYI: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SJS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-21	NYI 4 - 3 SJS	NYI	NYI
2025-03-08	SJS 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-18	NYI 4 - 1 SJS	NYI	NYI
2024-03-07	SJS 2 - 7 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	17	0	1.06
1	NYI	15	0	0.51
2	SJS	13	0	0.77
2	NYI	21	0	0.80
3	SJS	5	0	0.21
3	NYI	18	0	0.93
4	SJS	2	0	0.10
4	NYI	6	0	0.53
5	SJS	2	1	0.84
5	NYI	3	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9