New Jersey Devils at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-02-25 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 8 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CHI: 63.2%

NJD: 36.8%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.31

NJD: 2.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

CHI

K. Lankinen

NJD

J. Gillies

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	K. Lankinen	36	31	5	86.1%	2.70	1	-2.30
NJD	J. Gillies	37	29	8	78.4%	4.36	2	-3.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CHI at home vs NJD: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	NJD 5 - 3 CHI	NJD	NJD
2025-11-12	CHI 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-03-26	CHI 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-12-14	NJD 4 - 1 CHI	NJD	NJD
2024-01-05	NJD 4 - 2 CHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	8	0	0.64
1	NJD	17	0	1.25
2	CHI	21	0	1.46
2	NJD	12	0	0.73
3	CHI	15	2	2.26
3	NJD	16	1	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 8 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 2.4