Buffalo Sabres at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-02-25 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

STL: 61.6%

BUF: 38.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.43

BUF: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 52%

STL

V. Husso

BUF

D. Tokarski

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	V. Husso	38	35	3	92.1%	3.18	1	0.18
BUF	D. Tokarski	23	18	5	78.3%	3.68	2	-1.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs BUF: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-11-06	BUF 0 - 3 STL	STL	BUF
2024-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-11-14	BUF 4 - 3 STL	BUF	BUF
2024-02-10	BUF 1 - 3 STL	STL	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	9	0	0.78
1	BUF	20	1	1.34
2	STL	17	1	1.66
2	BUF	13	0	0.78
3	STL	7	1	1.25
3	BUF	15	0	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9