Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-02-26 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 54.0%

EDM: 46.0%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.26

EDM: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 58%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

EDM

M. Koskinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	22	18	4	81.8%	2.40	2	-1.60
EDM	M. Koskinen	47	44	3	93.6%	5.19	5	2.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • FLA at home vs EDM: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	25	2	1.87
1	EDM	9	1	0.94
2	FLA	19	2	1.96
2	EDM	10	0	0.66
3	FLA	16	1	1.35
3	EDM	8	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1