Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-02-26 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 7 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

CGY: 63.5%

MIN: 36.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 4.11

MIN: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 53%

CGY

J. Markstrom

MIN

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	25	22	3	88.0%	2.09	1	-0.91
MIN	K. Kahkonen	35	28	7	80.0%	4.38	2	-2.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • CGY at home vs MIN: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	MIN 4 - 1 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-12-04	CGY 4 - 1 MIN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-09	MIN 2 - 0 CGY	MIN	CGY
2025-04-11	CGY 4 - 2 MIN	CGY	MIN
2025-01-25	MIN 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	26	0	1.31
1	MIN	7	0	0.16
2	CGY	14	0	1.14
2	MIN	19	1	1.20
3	CGY	14	2	1.93
3	MIN	10	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 7 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 4.1 - 2.9