Vancouver Canucks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-02-27 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

NYR: 42.6%

VAN: 57.4%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.12

VAN: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 52%

NYR

A. Georgiev

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	A. Georgiev	34	29	5	85.3%	2.65	1	-2.35
VAN	Thatcher Demko	33	31	2	93.9%	3.38	3	1.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • NYR at home vs VAN: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	NYR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-10-28	VAN 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-22	NYR 5 - 3 VAN	NYR	VAN
2024-11-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	VAN
2024-01-08	NYR 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	21	2	1.41
1	VAN	15	0	1.08
2	NYR	11	0	0.65
2	VAN	20	0	0.84
3	NYR	20	1	1.32
3	VAN	12	1	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4