St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-02-27 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 0 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 57.7%

STL: 42.3%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.33

STL: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

CHI

M. Fleury

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	35	31	4	88.6%	3.73	1	-0.27
STL	Jordan Binnington	30	30	0	100.0%	2.83	1	2.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CHI at home vs STL: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	CHI 3 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2026-01-07	CHI 7 - 3 STL	CHI	STL
2025-12-12	STL 3 - 2 CHI	STL	STL
2025-10-15	STL 3 - 8 CHI	CHI	STL
2025-03-22	STL 4 - 1 CHI	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	0	0.97
1	STL	13	0	0.68
2	CHI	14	0	0.92
2	STL	17	1	2.04
3	CHI	9	1	0.94
3	STL	14	0	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 0 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9