Winnipeg Jets at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-02-27 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

ARI: 42.9%

WPG: 57.1%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.83

WPG: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

ARI

S. Wedgewood

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	S. Wedgewood	38	33	5	86.8%	3.95	2	-1.05
WPG	Eric Comrie	29	26	3	89.7%	2.87	2	-0.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ARI at home vs WPG: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-25	WPG 4 - 3 ARI	WPG	WPG
2024-01-07	ARI 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	ARI
2023-11-18	WPG 5 - 2 ARI	WPG	WPG
2023-11-04	ARI 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	ARI
2023-03-21	WPG 2 - 1 ARI	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	12	0	0.89
1	WPG	14	1	0.98
2	ARI	11	0	0.42
2	WPG	19	0	1.30
3	ARI	27	2	1.56
3	WPG	20	1	1.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1