New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-02-27 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 0 - 4 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 51.4%

NYI: 48.6%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.96

NYI: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

ANA

A. Stolarz

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	A. Stolarz	22	18	4	81.8%	2.68	1	-1.32
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	34	34	0	100.0%	2.01	0	2.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • ANA at home vs NYI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	ANA 5 - 1 NYI	ANA	NYI
2025-12-11	NYI 5 - 2 ANA	NYI	NYI
2025-03-09	ANA 4 - 1 NYI	ANA	NYI
2024-10-29	NYI 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	NYI
2024-03-10	ANA 1 - 6 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	0	0.71
1	NYI	19	0	1.14
2	ANA	11	0	0.38
2	NYI	10	1	0.83
3	ANA	18	0	0.91
3	NYI	9	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 0 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2