Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-02-27 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 45.7%

SEA: 54.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.05

SEA: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

SJS

J. Reimer

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	40	39	1	97.5%	2.68	0	1.68
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	24	21	3	87.5%	1.75	1	-1.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SJS at home vs SEA: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	8	0	0.31
1	SEA	24	0	1.30
2	SJS	14	0	0.52
2	SEA	12	0	0.58
3	SJS	12	1	0.93
3	SEA	16	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1