Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2022-02-28 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 0 - 7 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 51.7%
BOS: 48.3%
Expected Goals
LAK: 2.78
BOS: 3.42
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
J. Quick
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | LAK | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | J. Quick | 32 | 25 | 7 | 78.1% | 2.55 | 0 | -4.45 |
| BOS | Jeremy Swayman | 34 | 34 | 0 | 100.0% | 2.37 | 0 | 2.37 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs BOS: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | BOS 2 - 1 LAK | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-11-21 | LAK 1 - 2 BOS | BOS | LAK |
| 2025-03-23 | LAK 7 - 2 BOS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-10-12 | BOS 2 - 1 LAK | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-02-17 | BOS 4 - 5 LAK | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 15 | 0 | 0.99 |
| 1 | BOS | 17 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 2 | LAK | 16 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 2 | BOS | 16 | 0 | 1.03 |
| 3 | LAK | 13 | 0 | 0.56 |
| 3 | BOS | 13 | 0 | 0.71 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 0 - 7 Boston Bruins
Expected: 2.8 - 3.4
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.