Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-03-03 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

FLA: 74.6%

OTT: 25.4%

Expected Goals

FLA: 4.45

OTT: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 54%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	18	18	0	100.0%	2.13	1	2.13
OTT	Anton Forsberg	48	45	3	93.8%	5.01	1	2.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • FLA at home vs OTT: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	FLA
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	31	1	2.36
1	OTT	11	0	1.07
2	FLA	20	0	1.29
2	OTT	5	0	0.17
3	FLA	15	0	1.36
3	OTT	12	1	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 4.5 - 2.6