Minnesota Wild at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-03-03 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

PHI: 49.2%

MIN: 50.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.99

MIN: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

PHI

C. Hart

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	38	33	5	86.8%	2.61	0	-2.39
MIN	C. Talbot	30	26	4	86.7%	2.40	2	-1.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • PHI at home vs MIN: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	MIN 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	MIN
2025-10-18	PHI 2 - 1 MIN	PHI	PHI
2024-12-14	MIN 4 - 1 PHI	MIN	MIN
2024-10-26	PHI 7 - 5 MIN	PHI	MIN
2024-01-12	MIN 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	12	1	0.93
1	MIN	16	0	1.19
2	PHI	8	1	0.55
2	MIN	17	0	0.66
3	PHI	16	0	0.91
3	MIN	14	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2