Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-03-03 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 47.4%

EDM: 52.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.95

EDM: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

CHI

M. Fleury

EDM

M. Koskinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	32	29	3	90.6%	2.57	0	-0.43
EDM	M. Koskinen	32	28	4	87.5%	3.17	1	-0.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CHI at home vs EDM: 1-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	EDM 3 - 1 CHI	EDM	EDM
2026-01-12	CHI 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-11-01	EDM 3 - 2 CHI	EDM	EDM
2025-02-05	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-11	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	9	0	0.87
1	EDM	14	0	1.03
2	CHI	18	0	1.24
2	EDM	10	0	0.90
3	CHI	12	1	0.84
3	EDM	19	0	0.64
4	CHI	3	0	0.21
4	EDM	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3