Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-03-04 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 59.5%

PIT: 40.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.28

PIT: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 54%

CAR

A. Raanta

PIT

C. DeSmith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	24	22	2	91.7%	2.22	0	0.22
PIT	C. DeSmith	42	39	3	92.9%	4.15	1	1.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CAR at home vs PIT: 9-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	PIT
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	0	0.68
1	PIT	13	0	1.26
2	CAR	25	1	1.94
2	PIT	11	0	0.41
3	CAR	14	0	1.11
3	PIT	6	0	0.51
4	CAR	5	0	0.42
4	PIT	1	0	0.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0