Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-03-04 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Dallas Stars (OT)

Win Probability

WPG: 46.3%

DAL: 53.7%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.99

DAL: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 50%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

DAL

B. Holtby

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	34	30	4	88.2%	3.73	2	-0.27
DAL	B. Holtby	42	39	3	92.9%	5.09	2	2.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • WPG at home vs DAL: 6-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	WPG
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	21	0	1.55
1	DAL	17	2	1.78
2	WPG	16	1	1.51
2	DAL	12	0	0.96
3	WPG	19	1	1.58
3	DAL	9	0	0.37
4	WPG	4	0	0.44
4	DAL	5	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0