Seattle Kraken at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2022-03-05 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 5 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

WSH: 54.3%

SEA: 45.7%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.47

SEA: 2.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

WSH

V. Vanecek

SEA

C. Driedger

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	V. Vanecek	31	29	2	93.5%	2.29	0	0.29
SEA	C. Driedger	25	20	5	80.0%	2.87	1	-2.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • WSH at home vs SEA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	SEA 5 - 1 WSH	SEA	WSH
2025-10-21	WSH 4 - 1 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-03-09	WSH 4 - 2 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-01-23	SEA 0 - 3 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-03-14	SEA 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	9	0	0.76
1	SEA	18	0	0.93
2	WSH	14	0	0.72
2	SEA	12	0	0.67
3	WSH	7	1	1.39
3	SEA	12	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 5 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5