Boston Bruins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-03-05 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Boston Bruins (SO)

Win Probability

CBJ: 31.1%

BOS: 68.9%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.10

BOS: 3.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	34	29	5	85.3%	3.24	1	-1.76
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	27	23	4	85.2%	2.23	0	-1.77

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs BOS: 2-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CBJ 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-03-29	CBJ 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-02-26	BOS 4 - 2 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-28	BOS 4 - 0 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-27	CBJ 6 - 2 BOS	CBJ	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	12	0	0.74
1	BOS	16	0	0.51
2	CBJ	11	0	0.37
2	BOS	11	0	0.39
3	CBJ	14	0	0.60
3	BOS	17	0	1.11
4	CBJ	4	0	0.31
4	BOS	3	0	0.17
5	CBJ	3	0	0.20
5	BOS	3	1	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.1 - 3.7