Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2022-03-05 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 0 - 8 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 53.6%
NSH: 46.4%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.14
NSH: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
A. Stalock
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | SJS | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | A. Stalock | 36 | 28 | 8 | 77.8% | 3.48 | 3 | -4.52 |
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 20 | 20 | 0 | 100.0% | 2.26 | 0 | 2.26 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs NSH: 0-7
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | NSH 2 - 3 SJS | SJS | SJS |
| 2026-04-04 | SJS 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | SJS |
| 2026-03-24 | NSH 6 - 3 SJS | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-03-11 | SJS 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-23 | SJS 5 - 6 NSH | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SJS | 7 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 1 | NSH | 15 | 0 | 0.65 |
| 2 | SJS | 13 | 0 | 0.96 |
| 2 | NSH | 19 | 3 | 1.75 |
| 3 | SJS | 10 | 0 | 0.86 |
| 3 | NSH | 16 | 0 | 1.08 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 0 - 8 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
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