Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2022-03-06 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

BUF: 41.5%

LAK: 58.5%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.62

LAK: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

BUF

D. Tokarski

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	D. Tokarski	32	29	3	90.6%	3.48	3	0.48
LAK	C. Petersen	19	19	0	100.0%	1.88	0	1.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	LAK 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	LAK
2026-01-29	BUF 4 - 1 LAK	BUF	LAK
2024-11-20	LAK 0 - 1 BUF	BUF	LAK
2024-10-10	BUF 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	BUF
2024-02-13	BUF 7 - 0 LAK	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	12	0	0.94
1	LAK	21	0	0.92
2	BUF	10	0	0.49
2	LAK	13	1	0.69
3	BUF	11	0	0.45
3	LAK	9	2	1.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.6 - 3.5