San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-03-06 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks (OT)

Win Probability

ANA: 69.0%

SJS: 31.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.74

SJS: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

ANA

A. Stolarz

SJS

Z. Sawchenko

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	A. Stolarz	22	20	2	90.9%	1.61	0	-0.39
SJS	Z. Sawchenko	36	33	3	91.7%	3.36	1	0.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • ANA at home vs SJS: 8-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	17	0	0.82
1	SJS	15	0	0.89
2	ANA	19	1	1.45
2	SJS	8	0	0.37
3	ANA	17	0	0.95
3	SJS	6	0	0.35
4	ANA	1	0	0.14
4	SJS	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.7 - 3.1