Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-03-07 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 56.7%

LAK: 43.3%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.09

LAK: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

BOS

L. Ullmark

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	28	25	3	89.3%	2.98	1	-0.02
LAK	C. Petersen	32	30	2	93.8%	2.50	0	0.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • BOS at home vs LAK: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	BOS 2 - 1 LAK	BOS	BOS
2025-11-21	LAK 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	LAK
2025-03-23	LAK 7 - 2 BOS	LAK	LAK
2024-10-12	BOS 2 - 1 LAK	BOS	BOS
2024-02-17	BOS 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	16	0	0.95
1	LAK	14	0	0.83
2	BOS	12	0	0.48
2	LAK	10	1	0.81
3	BOS	15	0	1.07
3	LAK	16	0	0.96
4	BOS	1	0	0.02
4	LAK	2	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1