Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2022-03-07 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 6 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

BUF: 30.3%

FLA: 69.7%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.52

FLA: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

BUF

C. Anderson

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	C. Anderson	31	25	6	80.6%	3.19	3	-2.81
FLA	Spencer Knight	30	29	1	96.7%	2.63	0	1.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • BUF at home vs FLA: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	FLA
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	13	0	0.78
1	FLA	5	1	0.49
2	BUF	8	0	0.38
2	FLA	21	2	1.99
3	BUF	22	0	1.48
3	FLA	9	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 6 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.5 - 3.4