Arizona Coyotes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-03-08 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 9 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 57.7%

ARI: 42.3%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.89

ARI: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	30	21	9	70.0%	2.83	3	-6.17
ARI	K. Vejmelka	28	26	2	92.9%	2.71	1	0.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DET at home vs ARI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-14	DET 1 - 4 ARI	ARI	ARI
2024-03-08	ARI 4 - 0 DET	ARI	ARI
2023-01-17	ARI 4 - 3 DET	ARI	ARI
2022-11-25	DET 4 - 3 ARI	DET	DET
2022-03-08	DET 2 - 9 ARI	ARI	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	0	0.78
1	ARI	14	3	1.44
2	DET	18	1	1.21
2	ARI	9	0	0.78
3	DET	8	0	0.71
3	ARI	11	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 9 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 2.9 - 2.8