Anaheim Ducks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2022-03-08 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 8 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 56.3%
ANA: 43.7%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.04
ANA: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
M. Fleury
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
| Stat | CHI | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 3.54 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | M. Fleury | 32 | 29 | 3 | 90.6% | 1.98 | 0 | -1.02 |
| ANA | John Gibson | 32 | 24 | 8 | 75.0% | 3.60 | 1 | -4.40 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • CHI at home vs ANA: 6-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | ANA 7 - 1 CHI | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-11-30 | CHI 5 - 3 ANA | CHI | ANA |
| 2025-10-19 | CHI 2 - 1 ANA | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-03-01 | ANA 3 - 6 CHI | CHI | ANA |
| 2024-11-19 | CHI 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | CHI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 16 | 0 | 1.86 |
| 1 | ANA | 7 | 0 | 0.27 |
| 2 | CHI | 8 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 2 | ANA | 23 | 0 | 1.49 |
| 3 | CHI | 16 | 1 | 1.21 |
| 3 | ANA | 9 | 0 | 0.22 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 8 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
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