Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-03-10 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 6 Minnesota Wild (SO)

Win Probability

DET: 38.0%

MIN: 62.0%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.03

MIN: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	43	36	7	83.7%	4.25	2	-2.75
MIN	C. Talbot	34	29	5	85.3%	2.73	0	-2.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • DET at home vs MIN: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	DET 4 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-22	MIN 4 - 3 DET	MIN	MIN
2025-02-25	MIN 2 - 3 DET	DET	MIN
2025-02-22	DET 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	DET
2023-12-27	MIN 6 - 3 DET	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	14	0	0.95
1	MIN	12	0	0.47
2	DET	12	0	0.54
2	MIN	14	0	0.85
3	DET	23	0	1.13
3	MIN	15	0	0.76
4	DET	1	0	0.01
4	MIN	8	0	0.47
5	DET	2	0	0.10
5	MIN	2	2	1.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 6 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 2.7