Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-03-10 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 62.9%

WPG: 37.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.49

WPG: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 54%

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Nico Daws	30	28	2	93.3%	2.77	1	0.77
WPG	Eric Comrie	34	33	1	97.1%	4.42	3	3.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NJD at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	NJD 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	NJD
2026-01-11	WPG 4 - 3 NJD	WPG	NJD
2025-03-28	WPG 4 - 0 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-07	NJD 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	NJD
2024-03-21	NJD 4 - 1 WPG	NJD	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	19	2	1.77
1	WPG	10	0	0.65
2	NJD	20	1	1.65
2	WPG	12	1	1.11
3	NJD	14	0	1.00
3	WPG	18	0	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.5 - 3.3