New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-03-10 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 6 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

STL: 56.5%

NYR: 43.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.28

NYR: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

STL

V. Husso

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	V. Husso	29	27	2	93.1%	2.91	0	0.91
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	35	29	6	82.9%	3.88	1	-2.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • STL at home vs NYR: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	STL 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-11-24	NYR 3 - 2 STL	NYR	STL
2024-12-15	STL 3 - 2 NYR	STL	STL
2024-11-25	NYR 2 - 5 STL	STL	NYR
2024-03-09	NYR 4 - 0 STL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	19	0	1.62
1	NYR	16	0	0.96
2	STL	13	1	1.25
2	NYR	18	0	1.57
3	STL	12	0	1.01
3	NYR	6	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 6 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1