Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-03-12 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

Win Probability

NJD: 60.3%

ANA: 39.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.22

ANA: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 54%

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Nico Daws	36	35	1	97.2%	2.85	0	1.85
ANA	A. Stolarz	42	39	3	92.9%	5.31	2	2.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NJD at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	NJD 4 - 1 ANA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-02	ANA 4 - 1 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-12-31	ANA 3 - 2 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-10-27	NJD 6 - 2 ANA	NJD	NJD
2024-03-01	ANA 4 - 3 NJD	ANA	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	23	0	1.30
1	ANA	12	0	0.84
2	NJD	17	0	1.44
2	ANA	12	0	0.68
3	NJD	15	0	0.69
3	ANA	17	0	0.95
4	NJD	5	0	0.35
4	ANA	2	0	0.23
5	NJD	2	2	1.53
5	ANA	2	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8