Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2022-03-13 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

PIT: 65.4%

CAR: 34.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.26

CAR: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 55%

PIT

Tristan Jarry - 16-12-6 | 0.892 SV% | 3.12 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Tristan Jarry	43	41	2	95.3%	3.00	1	1.00
CAR	A. Raanta	22	18	4	81.8%	2.57	3	-1.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • PIT at home vs CAR: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	PIT
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	7	0	0.47
1	CAR	16	0	0.73
2	PIT	13	1	0.64
2	CAR	17	0	0.85
3	PIT	5	2	1.47
3	CAR	21	1	1.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8