Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-03-13 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets (OT)

Win Probability

STL: 48.3%

WPG: 51.7%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.98

WPG: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 52%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	37	33	4	89.2%	3.17	0	-0.83
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	31	28	3	90.3%	2.73	0	-0.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • STL at home vs WPG: 5-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	WPG
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	STL	13	0.76
1	WPG	12	0.72
2	STL	15	0.88
2	WPG	18	1.02
3	STL	14	0.97
3	WPG	20	1.24
4	STL	1	0.11
4	WPG	3	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2