Boston Bruins at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2022-03-15 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 2 Boston Bruins (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 48.0%
BOS: 52.0%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.03
BOS: 3.24
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
M. Fleury
BOS
L. Ullmark
| Stat | CHI | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | M. Fleury | 48 | 46 | 2 | 95.8% | 4.20 | 0 | 2.20 |
| BOS | L. Ullmark | 20 | 19 | 1 | 95.0% | 1.32 | 0 | 0.32 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs BOS: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | CHI 2 - 5 BOS | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-10-09 | BOS 4 - 3 CHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-10 | BOS 2 - 5 CHI | CHI | BOS |
| 2024-12-04 | CHI 2 - 4 BOS | BOS | CHI |
| 2023-10-24 | CHI 0 - 3 BOS | BOS | CHI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 5 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 1 | BOS | 19 | 0 | 1.22 |
| 2 | CHI | 8 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 2 | BOS | 30 | 0 | 1.97 |
| 3 | CHI | 10 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 3 | BOS | 13 | 0 | 0.86 |
| 4 | CHI | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | BOS | 2 | 0 | 0.15 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 2 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2
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