Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-03-15 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 48.2%

PIT: 51.8%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.96

PIT: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

PIT

C. DeSmith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	36	35	1	97.2%	3.69	1	2.69
PIT	C. DeSmith	25	21	4	84.0%	2.66	1	-1.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NSH at home vs PIT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-16	PIT 4 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2025-11-14	NSH 2 - 1 PIT	NSH	NSH
2025-02-01	PIT 3 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2024-12-19	NSH 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	NSH
2024-04-15	PIT 4 - 2 NSH	PIT	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	13	0	0.81
1	PIT	14	1	1.05
2	NSH	17	0	0.95
2	PIT	19	0	1.57
3	NSH	8	1	0.90
3	PIT	15	0	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0