Detroit Red Wings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-03-15 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 7 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

EDM: 59.4%

DET: 40.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.51

DET: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

EDM

M. Koskinen

DET

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Koskinen	35	30	5	85.7%	2.73	0	-2.27
DET	T. Greiss	32	25	7	78.1%	3.63	2	-3.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • EDM at home vs DET: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-11	EDM 4 - 1 DET	EDM	EDM
2025-10-19	DET 4 - 2 EDM	DET	DET
2025-01-30	EDM 2 - 3 DET	DET	EDM
2024-10-27	DET 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-02-13	EDM 8 - 4 DET	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	19	1	1.47
1	DET	23	0	1.10
2	EDM	8	0	0.43
2	DET	9	0	0.39
3	EDM	15	1	1.74
3	DET	18	0	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 7 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0