New Jersey Devils at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-03-15 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 43.2%

NJD: 56.8%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.99

NJD: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 55%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	35	32	3	91.4%	3.54	0	0.54
NJD	Nico Daws	31	25	6	80.6%	2.44	0	-3.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • VAN at home vs NJD: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	VAN 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-12-14	NJD 1 - 2 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-24	NJD 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-10-30	VAN 0 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-01-06	NJD 4 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	VAN	14	0.92
1	NJD	13	1.00
2	VAN	15	0.85
2	NJD	18	1.45
3	VAN	8	0.67
3	NJD	15	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1