New Jersey Devils at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-03-16 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CGY: 68.8%

NJD: 31.2%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.46

NJD: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 53%

CGY

J. Markstrom

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	33	30	3	90.9%	1.85	0	-1.15
NJD	Nico Daws	40	34	6	85.0%	4.13	3	-1.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CGY at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	NJD 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD
2026-01-19	CGY 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	CGY
2025-03-20	NJD 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD
2024-11-01	CGY 3 - 0 NJD	CGY	NJD
2024-02-08	NJD 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	14	0	1.00
1	NJD	11	0	0.69
2	CGY	18	0	1.24
2	NJD	15	0	0.41
3	CGY	20	3	1.88
3	NJD	10	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 6 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9