Boston Bruins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-03-18 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 52.2%

BOS: 47.8%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.91

BOS: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 47%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	45	41	4	91.1%	4.08	2	0.08
BOS	L. Ullmark	29	27	2	93.1%	3.52	1	1.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • WPG at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	BOS 6 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG
2025-12-11	WPG 3 - 6 BOS	BOS	WPG
2025-01-30	BOS 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-10	WPG 8 - 1 BOS	WPG	WPG
2024-01-22	BOS 4 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	13	0	0.93
1	BOS	16	0	0.67
2	WPG	9	0	0.88
2	BOS	28	1	1.97
3	WPG	18	1	1.72
3	BOS	15	1	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.9 - 2.8