St. Louis Blues at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-03-19 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 42.7%

STL: 57.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.33

STL: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 55%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	28	24	4	85.7%	2.01	0	-1.99
STL	V. Husso	27	22	5	81.5%	3.10	1	-1.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs STL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	STL 3 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-11-01	CBJ 3 - 2 STL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-01-11	STL 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-01-04	CBJ 6 - 4 STL	CBJ	CBJ
2024-01-30	STL 0 - 1 CBJ	CBJ	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	0	1.10
1	STL	13	0	0.51
2	CBJ	14	0	0.92
2	STL	17	0	1.09
3	CBJ	11	1	1.09
3	STL	13	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4