New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-03-20 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 2 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 71.3%

NYR: 28.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.60

NYR: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

NYR

A. Georgiev

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	18	16	2	88.9%	3.02	1	1.02
NYR	A. Georgiev	44	44	0	100.0%	5.25	3	5.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CAR at home vs NYR: 8-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	24	0	1.33
1	NYR	6	0	0.43
2	CAR	18	1	1.37
2	NYR	15	0	1.15
3	CAR	29	2	2.55
3	NYR	8	1	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.6 - 3.1