Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-03-20 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 51.9%

WPG: 48.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.02

WPG: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

CHI

M. Fleury

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	32	26	6	81.2%	3.50	1	-2.50
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	36	32	4	88.9%	4.50	6	0.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • CHI at home vs WPG: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	CHI 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2026-03-03	WPG 3 - 2 CHI	WPG	WPG
2026-01-19	CHI 2 - 0 WPG	CHI	WPG
2025-10-30	WPG 6 - 3 CHI	WPG	WPG
2025-04-12	CHI 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	12	0	0.82
1	WPG	14	0	0.73
2	CHI	17	3	2.15
2	WPG	18	0	1.24
3	CHI	16	3	1.53
3	WPG	10	1	1.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 2.7