Arizona Coyotes at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-03-20 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

SJS: 69.1%

ARI: 30.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.17

ARI: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

SJS

J. Reimer

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	25	23	2	92.0%	2.49	2	0.49
ARI	K. Vejmelka	29	25	4	86.2%	2.84	2	-1.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SJS at home vs ARI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-07	SJS 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-12-21	SJS 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-12-15	ARI 1 - 0 SJS	ARI	ARI
2023-04-01	ARI 2 - 7 SJS	SJS	SJS
2023-01-10	ARI 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	SJS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	2	1.03
1	ARI	9	1	0.83
2	SJS	13	0	0.64
2	ARI	10	0	0.55
3	SJS	22	0	1.17
3	ARI	14	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9