Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2022-01-12 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 5 - 1 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 60.9%
MTL: 39.1%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.61
MTL: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
L. Ullmark
MTL
J. Allen
| Stat | BOS | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | L. Ullmark | 25 | 24 | 1 | 96.0% | 1.93 | 0 | 0.93 |
| MTL | J. Allen | 41 | 36 | 5 | 87.8% | 4.80 | 3 | -0.20 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • BOS at home vs MTL: 8-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | MTL 3 - 2 BOS | MTL | MTL |
| 2026-01-24 | BOS 4 - 3 MTL | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-23 | BOS 2 - 6 MTL | MTL | BOS |
| 2025-11-15 | MTL 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | MTL |
| 2025-04-03 | MTL 4 - 1 BOS | MTL | MTL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 21 | 1 | 1.80 |
| 1 | MTL | 8 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 2 | BOS | 20 | 2 | 1.86 |
| 2 | MTL | 13 | 0 | 1.23 |
| 3 | BOS | 14 | 0 | 1.14 |
| 3 | MTL | 12 | 0 | 0.52 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 5 - 1 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.6 - 3.2
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.