Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2022-03-21 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 59.6%
NSH: 40.4%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.22
NSH: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | ANA | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.54 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | John Gibson | 31 | 25 | 6 | 80.6% | 3.87 | 2 | -2.13 |
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 29 | 26 | 3 | 89.7% | 3.03 | 1 | 0.03 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ANA at home vs NSH: 2-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | NSH 4 - 5 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-04-07 | ANA 0 - 5 NSH | NSH | ANA |
| 2025-10-21 | NSH 2 - 5 ANA | ANA | NSH |
| 2025-03-20 | NSH 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | NSH |
| 2025-03-14 | ANA 2 - 1 NSH | ANA | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 19 | 0 | 1.23 |
| 1 | NSH | 12 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 2 | ANA | 16 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 2 | NSH | 18 | 0 | 0.85 |
| 3 | ANA | 15 | 1 | 1.08 |
| 3 | NSH | 14 | 2 | 2.24 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0
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