New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-03-22 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 7 - 4 New York Rangers

Win Probability

NJD: 57.1%

NYR: 42.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.29

NYR: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Nico Daws	35	31	4	88.6%	2.93	2	-1.07
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	31	24	7	77.4%	3.00	3	-4.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NJD at home vs NYR: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NYR
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	0	0.91
1	NYR	17	1	1.33
2	NJD	17	2	1.15
2	NYR	9	0	0.35
3	NJD	8	1	0.93
3	NYR	16	1	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 7 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4