Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2022-03-22 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

PIT: 58.2%

CBJ: 41.8%

Expected Goals

PIT: 4.00

CBJ: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

PIT

Tristan Jarry - 16-12-6 | 0.892 SV% | 3.12 GAA

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Tristan Jarry	27	26	1	96.3%	2.14	0	1.14
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	37	32	5	86.5%	3.54	2	-1.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • PIT at home vs CBJ: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	PIT 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PIT
2026-01-04	CBJ 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-28	CBJ 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	CBJ
2025-10-25	PIT 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-21	PIT 6 - 3 CBJ	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	16	0	1.02
1	CBJ	12	0	0.60
2	PIT	21	2	1.86
2	CBJ	10	0	0.47
3	PIT	7	0	0.66
3	CBJ	16	0	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 4.0 - 3.0