Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-03-22 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

WPG: 61.5%

VGK: 38.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.63

VGK: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

VGK

L. Thompson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	42	42	0	100.0%	3.85	4	3.85
VGK	L. Thompson	26	22	4	84.6%	2.65	4	-1.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs VGK: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	VGK 6 - 2 WPG	VGK	VGK
2026-03-24	WPG 4 - 1 VGK	WPG	VGK
2026-01-06	WPG 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-03	VGK 0 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-12	WPG 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	8	1	0.54
1	VGK	23	2	1.74
2	WPG	18	3	1.56
2	VGK	17	1	1.44
3	WPG	14	0	0.56
3	VGK	15	1	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.6 - 3.3