Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-03-23 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 52.4%

VAN: 47.6%

Expected Goals

COL: 2.78

VAN: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 49%

COL

D. Kuemper

VAN

J. Halak

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	27	24	3	88.9%	3.86	2	0.86
VAN	J. Halak	33	32	1	97.0%	3.22	2	2.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • COL at home vs VAN: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	COL 6 - 8 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-12-02	COL 3 - 1 VAN	COL	COL
2025-11-09	VAN 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-10	COL 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-02-04	VAN 3 - 0 COL	VAN	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	13	0	0.92
1	VAN	15	0	1.30
2	COL	16	1	1.14
2	VAN	11	0	0.40
3	COL	14	1	1.16
3	VAN	13	2	2.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2