Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-03-24 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 1 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

VGK: 65.4%

NSH: 34.6%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.88

NSH: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

VGK

L. Thompson

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Thompson	36	35	1	97.2%	3.26	2	2.26
NSH	Juuse Saros	50	44	6	88.0%	4.43	3	-1.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • VGK at home vs NSH: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	VGK
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	19	0	0.95
1	NSH	12	0	0.55
2	VGK	24	2	1.84
2	NSH	18	2	1.27
3	VGK	21	1	1.64
3	NSH	20	0	1.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.9 - 2.9