Chicago Blackhawks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2022-03-24 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 65.4%
CHI: 34.6%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.32
CHI: 2.16
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
J. Quick
CHI
C. Delia
| Stat | LAK | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | J. Quick | 34 | 30 | 4 | 88.2% | 4.13 | 2 | 0.13 |
| CHI | C. Delia | 47 | 44 | 3 | 93.6% | 3.97 | 0 | 0.97 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • LAK at home vs CHI: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | LAK 6 - 0 CHI | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-12-04 | LAK 1 - 2 CHI | CHI | LAK |
| 2025-10-26 | CHI 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | CHI |
| 2025-03-20 | CHI 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-03 | CHI 5 - 1 LAK | CHI | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 16 | 0 | 1.08 |
| 1 | CHI | 9 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 2 | LAK | 25 | 0 | 1.50 |
| 2 | CHI | 15 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 3 | LAK | 19 | 0 | 1.00 |
| 3 | CHI | 14 | 0 | 0.88 |
| 4 | LAK | 3 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 4 | CHI | 3 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 5 | LAK | 3 | 0 | 0.21 |
| 5 | CHI | 3 | 1 | 1.07 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 65.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.2
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.