Seattle Kraken at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2022-02-11 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 50.1%
SEA: 49.9%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.20
SEA: 3.64
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
SEA
C. Driedger
| Stat | ANA | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.54 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | John Gibson | 27 | 23 | 4 | 85.2% | 2.63 | 1 | -1.37 |
| SEA | C. Driedger | 27 | 24 | 3 | 88.9% | 3.38 | 1 | 0.38 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • ANA at home vs SEA: 3-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | ANA 4 - 2 SEA | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-01-23 | SEA 2 - 4 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-22 | ANA 1 - 3 SEA | SEA | ANA |
| 2025-10-09 | SEA 3 - 1 ANA | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-01-28 | SEA 4 - 6 ANA | ANA | ANA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 19 | 0 | 1.42 |
| 1 | SEA | 11 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 2 | ANA | 19 | 1 | 1.44 |
| 2 | SEA | 20 | 1 | 1.26 |
| 3 | ANA | 7 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 3 | SEA | 11 | 0 | 0.78 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.2 - 3.6
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